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Market update: First quarter 2016

The U.S. mid-cycle should hold steady; world economy likely to stabilize although volatility remains elevated.

Each quarter, Fidelity's Asset Allocation Research Team (AART) compiles a comprehensive quarterly market update—with analysis of the past quarter and what it may mean for the quarter ahead—to provide asset allocation recommendations for Fidelity’s portfolio managers and investment teams.

The package includes:

  • Six key takeaways for the first quarter 2016.
  • A quick summary video with insight for the quarter from Dirk Hofschire, senior vice president of Asset Allocation Research.
  • A 50-page comprehensive report with a Q4 2015 market summary and in-depth analysis on the economy/macro backdrop, U.S. stock markets, international stock markets and global assets, fixed income markets, asset allocation themes, and an outlook for Q1 2016.

Six key takeaways

 Q1 2016: six key takeaways The U.S. mid-cycle should hold steady; world economy likely to stabilize although volatility remains elevated.

Complete Q1 2016 report

Complete Quarterly Market Update Dig into 50 pages of charts, data, and analysis on Q4 2015. Read the pdf.
The Asset Allocation Research Team (AART) conducts economic, fundamental, and quantitative research to develop dynamic asset allocation recommendations for the Global Asset Allocation Division of Fidelity Asset Management (FAM), the investment management arm of Fidelity Investments. Lisa Emsbo-Mattingly, director; Dirk Hofschire, senior vice president; Jake Weinstein; senior analyst; Austin Litvak, senior analyst; and Caitlin Dourney, analyst contributed to this report. The information presented above reflects the opinions of the authors, as of October 7, 2015. These opinions do not necessarily represent the views of Fidelity or any other person in the Fidelity organization and are subject to change at any time based on market or other conditions. Fidelity disclaims any responsibility to update such views. These views may not be relied on as investment advice and, because investment decisions for a Fidelity fund are based on numerous factors, may not be relied on as an indication of trading intent on behalf of any Fidelity fund.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Diversification/asset allocation does not ensure a profit or guarantee against loss.
Stock markets, especially foreign markets, are volatile and can decline significantly in response to adverse issuer, political, regulatory, market, or economic developments.

Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC, 900 Salem Street, Smithfield, RI 02917


Fourth quarter 2015 update

The U.S. mid-cycle expansion should support stocks; China's struggles may drive volatility.

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