Emerging-market equities and emerging-market debt solidly outperformed their developed-market peers in the second quarter of 2014.
What could this mean for investors? Get insights in this quarterly report from our emerging-market equity and debt investment professionals—Dirk Hofschire, CFA, SVP, Asset Allocation Research, Jonathan Kelly, portfolio manager, and Sammy Simnegar, portfolio manager. They are among the most respected and experienced in the industry.
Their key conclusions:
- Economic and financial stabilization have been keys to the improved performance of emerging-market equities in 2014, though late-cycle dynamics could be a near-term headwind.
- In the second quarter, EM stocks had their largest quarterly return since 2012, and countries enacting economic reforms may be best positioned to continue that trend.
- Emerging-market debt had strong investment returns in Q2 2014, but more-muted performance is expected for the remainder of 2014.
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Investment decisions should be based on an individual’s own goals, time horizon, and tolerance for risk. Examples provided are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
Neither asset allocation nor diversification ensures a profit or guarantees against a loss.
Information presented is for informational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice or an offer of any particular security. This information must not be relied upon in making any investment decision. Fidelity cannot be held responsible for any type of loss incurred by applying any of the information presented.
Stock markets, especially foreign markets, are volatile and can decline significantly in response to adverse issuer, political, regulatory, market, or economic developments.
Foreign markets can be more volatile than U.S. markets due to increased risks of adverse issuer, political, market, or economic developments, all of which are magnified in emerging markets. These risks are particularly significant for investments that focus on a single country or region.
In general the bond market is volatile, and fixed-income securities carry interest rate risk. (As interest rates rise, bond prices usually fall, and vice versa. This effect is usually more pronounced for longer-term securities.) Fixed-income securities also carry inflation risk, liquidity risk, call risk, and credit and default risks for both issuers and counterparties. Unlike individual bonds, most bond funds do not have a maturity date, so avoiding losses caused by price volatility by holding them until maturity is not possible. High-yield/noninvestment-grade bonds involve greater price volatility and risk of default than investment-grade bonds.
1. For Government Debt, emerging markets are represented by JPMorgan Emerging Markets Bond Index (EMBI) Global; U.S. debt by Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index; and developed markets by Citigroup Non-U.S. G-7 Index. For Equity, emerging markets are represented by MSCI® Emerging Markets (EM) Index; U.S. stocks by Standard & Poor’s 500 Index; and developed markets by MSCI® Europe, Australasia, Far East (EAFE) Index. The index performance includes the reinvestment of dividends and interest income. Securities indices are not subject to fees and expenses typically associated with managed accounts or investment funds.
JPM® EMBI Global Index, and its country sub-indices, tracks total returns for traded external debt instruments issued by emerging-market sovereign and quasi-sovereign entities.
Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index is an unmanaged, market valueweighted performance benchmark for investment-grade fixed-rate debt issues, including government, corporate, asset-backed, and mortgagebacked securities with maturities of at least one year.
Citigroup Non-USD Group-of-Seven (G7) Index is designed to measure the unhedged performance of the government bond markets of the G7 excluding the U.S., which are Japan, Germany, France, United Kingdom, Italy, and Canada. Issues included in the index have fixed-rate coupons and maturities of one year or more.
MSCI® Emerging Markets (EM) Index is an unmanaged market capitalization-weighted index of over 850 stocks traded in 21 world markets.
Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (S&P 500®) is an unmanaged market capitalization-weighted index of 500 widely held U.S. stocks and includes reinvestment of dividends.
MSCI Europe, Australasia, Far East (EAFE) Index is an unmanaged market capitalization-weighted index designed to represent the performance of developed stock markets outside the U.S. and Canada.
Barclays ABS Index is a market value-weighted index that covers fixedrate asset-backed securities with average lives greater than or equal to one year and that are part of a public deal; the index covers the following collateral types: credit cards, autos, home equity loans, stranded-cost utility (rate-reduction bonds), and manufactured housing.
Barclays U.S. Agency Bond Index is a market value-weighted index of U.S. agency government and investment-grade corporate fixed-rate debt issues.
Barclays CMBS Index is designed to mirror commercial mortgage-backed securities of investment-grade quality (Baa3/BBB-/BBB- or above) using Moody’s, S&P, and Fitch, respectively, with maturities of at least one year. Barclays U.S. Credit Bond Index is a market value-weighted index of investment-grade corporate fixed-rate debt issues with maturities of one year or more. BofA Merrill Lynch U.S. High Yield Master II Index tracks the performance of below-investment-grade, but not in default, U.S. dollar-denominated corporate bonds publicly issued in the U.S. market, and includes issues with a credit rating of BBB or below, as rated by Moody’s and S&P. Standard & Poor’s/Loan Syndications and Trading Association (S&P/ LSTA) Leveraged Performing Loan Index is a market value-weighted index designed to represent the performance of U.S. dollar-denominated, institutional leveraged performing loan portfolios (excluding loans in payment default) using current market weightings, spreads, and interest payments.
Barclays Long U.S. Government Credit Index includes all publicly issued U.S. government and corporate securities that have a remaining maturity of 10 or more years, are rated investment grade, and have $250 million or more of outstanding face value.
Barclays U.S. MBS Index is a market value-weighted index of fixed-rate securities that represent interests in pools of mortgage loans, including balloon mortgages, with original terms of 15 and 30 years that are issued by the Government National Mortgage Association (GNMA), the Federal National Mortgage Association (FNMA), and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corp. (FHLMC). Barclays Global Treasury Index tracks fixedrate local currency government debt of investment-grade countries in developed and EM markets.
Barclays Municipal Bond Index is a market value-weighted index of investment-grade municipal bonds with maturities of one year or more. Barclays U.S. Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) Index (Series-L) is a market value-weighted index that measures the performance of inflation-protected securities issued by the U.S. Treasury.
Barclays U.S. Treasury Bond Index is a market value-weighted index of public obligations of the U.S. Treasury with maturities of one year or more.
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