US economy and stock market analysis: Chart of the week

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Consumer, financial stocks in focus

With earnings season underway, expectations are high for most sectors due to extremely favorable comparables to the same period last year—when COVID-19 took hold of the global economy. In particular, consumer discretionary stocks are expected to see a nearly 100% surge in year-over-year earnings per share (EPS) growth, financials are expected to soar 76%, and materials are expected to grow 45%. Only the industrials and energy sectors are forecasted to contract year-over-year. However, stock prices are unlikely to match Q1 earnings performance, as much of the earnings bounceback may be priced into stocks already.

Source: Refinitiv, as of April 17, 2021.

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