June 30, 2026

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Chart of the month: Could bitcoin bottom around November?

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Chart of the month: Could bitcoin bottom around November?

What's notable in the crypto markets?

Since 2011, bitcoin’s bull market tops and bear market bottoms have both tended to occur roughly 4 years apart.

Investors who believe these 4-year cycles will continue to play out may be watching for a bottom to the current bear market to form around November later this year (the last bear market bottom occured in November 2022).

However, keep in mind past performance is no guarantee of future results. Also keep in mind that the cycles are not precisely 4 years long, and have varied in length during each cycle.

Chart shows bitcoin's price since 2011. Bull market tops and bear market bottoms have both tended to form roughly 4 years apart, though past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Source: Fidelity Investments, as of June 2026. Chart shows bitcoin's price since 2011. Bull market tops and bear market bottoms have both tended to form roughly 4 years apart, though past performance is no guarantee of future results.

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Decode Crypto Clarity on crypto every month. Build your knowledge with education for all levels.

Fidelity Smart Money^℠

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Active Investor Our most advanced investment insights, strategies, and tools.

Insights from Fidelity Wealth Management ^®

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Using technical analysis

Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Fidelity Crypto^® is offered by Fidelity Digital Assets^®.

Investing involves risk, including risk of total loss.

Crypto as an asset class is highly volatile, can become illiquid at any time, and is for investors with a high risk tolerance. Crypto may also be more susceptible to market manipulation than securities.  Crypto is not insured by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, the Securities Investor Protection Corporation, or any other government agency, and is not an obligation of any bank. Investors in crypto do not benefit from the same regulatory protections applicable to registered securities.

Fidelity Crypto^® accounts and custody and trading of crypto in such accounts are provided by Fidelity Digital Assets, National Association, which is a national trust bank.

Brokerage services in support of securities trading are provided by Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC (“FBS”), and related custody services are provided by National Financial Services LLC (“NFS”), each a registered broker-dealer and member NYSE and SIPC.

Neither FBS nor NFS offer crypto as a direct investment nor provide trading or custody services for such assets.

Fidelity Crypto and Fidelity Digital Assets are registered service marks of FMR LLC.

As with all your investments through Fidelity, you must make your own determination whether an investment in any particular digital asset/cryptocurrency is consistent with your investment objectives, risk tolerance, financial situation, and evaluation of the digital asset. Neither Fidelity nor any of its affiliates are recommending or endorsing these assets by making them available.

Fidelity Brokerage Services LLC, Member NYSE, SIPC, 900 Salem Street, Smithfield, RI 02917

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